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Arbitrage

  • 23 installs
  • 610 repo stars
  • Updated June 26, 2026
  • alsk1992/cloddsbot

Arbitrage is a Claude Code skill that detects and monitors price-difference arbitrage opportunities across prediction-market platforms like Polymarket, Kalshi, and Betfair.

About

Arbitrage is a skill that detects and monitors arbitrage opportunities across prediction-market platforms. It compares prices across Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Metaculus, PredictIt, Drift, Betfair, and Smarkets, finds cross-platform, internal, and inverse-market arbitrage, and auto-matches equivalent markets by question similarity. A developer uses it to surface guaranteed-spread bets and monitor them continuously.

  • Detects cross-platform arbitrage across Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Betfair, and more
  • Runs continuous monitoring or one-time scans with configurable spread and liquidity thresholds
  • Auto-matches equivalent markets by question similarity and links them manually

Arbitrage by the numbers

  • 23 all-time installs (skills.sh)
  • Ranked #704 of 1,106 Finance & Trading skills by installs in the Skillselion catalog
  • Data as of Aug 5, 2026 (Skillselion catalog sync)
At a glance

arbitrage capabilities & compatibility

Requires at least one platform API key (POLY_API_KEY or KALSHI_API_KEY).

Capabilities
arbitrage detection · market matching · price monitoring
Use cases
trading
Pricing
Bring your own API key
From the docs

What arbitrage says it does

Automated detection and monitoring of arbitrage opportunities across prediction market platforms.
SKILL.md
Strategy: Buy both YES and NO
SKILL.md
npx skills add https://github.com/alsk1992/cloddsbot --skill arbitrage

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Listed on Skillselion
Installs23
repo stars610
Last updatedJune 26, 2026
Repositoryalsk1992/cloddsbot

What it does

Detect and monitor cross-platform arbitrage opportunities across prediction-market platforms.

Who is it for?

spotting guaranteed-spread bets across multiple prediction-market platforms

Skip if: single-platform trading or markets with no equivalent listing elsewhere

When should I use this skill?

you want to find or monitor arbitrage between prediction-market platforms

What you get

A live feed of cross-platform, internal, and inverse-market arbitrage opportunities with spread and liquidity filters.

By the numbers

  • 8 supported platforms
  • 3 arbitrage types detected

Files

SKILL.mdMarkdownGitHub ↗

Arbitrage Service - Complete API Reference

Automated detection and monitoring of arbitrage opportunities across prediction market platforms.

Supported Platforms

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
  • Manifold
  • Metaculus
  • PredictIt
  • Drift
  • Betfair
  • Smarkets

---

Chat Commands

Monitoring Control

/arb start                                  # Start arbitrage monitoring
/arb stop                                   # Stop monitoring
/arb status                                 # Check monitoring status
/arb config --interval 60                   # Set check interval (seconds)

Manual Scanning

/arb check                                  # Run one-time scan
/arb check "election"                       # Scan with keyword
/arb check --platforms poly,kalshi          # Specific platforms

Market Comparison

/arb compare <market-a> <market-b>          # Compare two specific markets
/arb compare poly:12345 kalshi:TRUMP        # By platform:id

View Opportunities

/arb opportunities                          # List current opportunities
/arb opportunities --min-spread 2           # Min 2% spread
/arb opportunities --format table           # Table format
/arb opportunities --format detailed        # Detailed view

Market Linking

/arb link <market-a> <market-b>             # Manually link markets
/arb unlink <market-a> <market-b>           # Remove link
/arb links                                  # View all links
/arb auto-match                             # Auto-detect matches

Statistics

/arb stats                                  # Arbitrage statistics
/arb stats --period 7d                      # Last 7 days
/arb history                                # Historical opportunities

---

TypeScript API Reference

Create Arbitrage Service

import { createArbitrageService } from 'clodds/arbitrage';

const arbService = createArbitrageService({
  platforms: ['polymarket', 'kalshi', 'manifold', 'betfair'],

  checkIntervalMs: 30000,    // Check every 30 seconds
  minSpread: 0.5,            // 0.5% minimum spread
  minLiquidity: 100,         // $100 minimum

  // Platform credentials
  polymarket: { apiKey, apiSecret, passphrase },
  kalshi: { apiKey },
});

Start/Stop Monitoring

// Start continuous monitoring
await arbService.start();

// Event handlers
arbService.on('arbitrage', (opp) => {
  console.log(`⚖️ Arbitrage found!`);
  console.log(`  ${opp.marketA.platform}: ${opp.marketA.price}`);
  console.log(`  ${opp.marketB.platform}: ${opp.marketB.price}`);
  console.log(`  Spread: ${opp.spread.toFixed(2)}%`);
});

arbService.on('arbitrageExpired', (opp) => {
  console.log(`Arbitrage expired: ${opp.id}`);
});

// Check status
const isRunning = arbService.isRunning();

// Stop monitoring
await arbService.stop();

One-Time Check

// Run a single scan
const opportunities = await arbService.checkArbitrage({
  query: 'trump',
  platforms: ['polymarket', 'kalshi'],
  minSpread: 1,
});

for (const opp of opportunities) {
  console.log(`${opp.question}`);
  console.log(`  Buy on ${opp.buyPlatform} @ ${opp.buyPrice}`);
  console.log(`  Sell on ${opp.sellPlatform} @ ${opp.sellPrice}`);
  console.log(`  Spread: ${opp.spread.toFixed(2)}%`);
}

Compare Specific Markets

// Compare two specific markets
const comparison = await arbService.compareMarkets(
  { platform: 'polymarket', id: 'market-123' },
  { platform: 'kalshi', id: 'TRUMP-WIN' }
);

if (comparison.hasArbitrage) {
  console.log(`Arbitrage exists!`);
  console.log(`  Buy ${comparison.buySide} on ${comparison.buyPlatform}`);
  console.log(`  Sell ${comparison.sellSide} on ${comparison.sellPlatform}`);
  console.log(`  Spread: ${comparison.spread.toFixed(2)}%`);
} else {
  console.log(`No arbitrage. Price difference: ${comparison.priceDiff.toFixed(2)}%`);
}

Market Linking

// Add a manual match
await arbService.addMatch(
  { platform: 'polymarket', id: 'market-123', question: 'Will Trump win?' },
  { platform: 'kalshi', id: 'TRUMP-WIN', question: 'Trump wins 2024' }
);

// Remove a match
await arbService.removeMatch('polymarket:market-123', 'kalshi:TRUMP-WIN');

// Auto-detect matches using question similarity
const autoMatches = await arbService.autoMatchMarkets({
  minSimilarity: 0.85,
});

console.log(`Found ${autoMatches.length} auto-matches`);

Get Opportunities

// Get current opportunities
const opportunities = await arbService.getOpportunities({
  minSpread: 1,
  sortBy: 'spread',  // 'spread' | 'liquidity' | 'confidence'
});

// Format for display
const formatted = await arbService.formatOpportunities(opportunities);
console.log(formatted);

Statistics

// Get arbitrage statistics
const stats = await arbService.getStats({
  period: '30d',
});

console.log(`Total opportunities: ${stats.totalOpportunities}`);
console.log(`Avg spread: ${stats.avgSpread.toFixed(2)}%`);
console.log(`Max spread seen: ${stats.maxSpread.toFixed(2)}%`);
console.log(`By platform pair:`);
for (const [pair, count] of Object.entries(stats.byPlatformPair)) {
  console.log(`  ${pair}: ${count}`);
}

---

Arbitrage Types Detected

1. Cross-Platform Price Difference

Market: "Trump wins 2024"
Polymarket YES: 52¢
Kalshi YES: 55¢

Strategy: Buy Polymarket YES, Sell Kalshi YES
Spread: 3¢ (5.8%)

2. Internal Arbitrage (Rebalancing)

Market: "Will X happen?"
YES: 45¢
NO: 52¢
Total: 97¢

Strategy: Buy both YES and NO
Guaranteed profit: 3¢ per $1

3. Inverse Markets

Market A: "Trump wins" = 55¢
Market B: "Trump loses" = 48¢
Total: 103¢ (should be 100¢)

Strategy: Sell both, pocket 3¢

---

Configuration

arbService.configure({
  // Scanning
  checkIntervalMs: 30000,
  batchSize: 50,

  // Filtering
  minSpread: 0.5,
  minLiquidity: 100,
  minConfidence: 0.7,

  // Matching
  autoMatchEnabled: true,
  minMatchSimilarity: 0.85,

  // Alerts
  alertOnNewArb: true,
  alertThreshold: 2,  // Alert on 2%+ spreads
});

---

Best Practices

1. Verify matches manually - Auto-matching can have false positives 2. Check liquidity - Ensure you can actually execute 3. Account for fees - Platform fees reduce spreads 4. Move fast - Arbitrage disappears quickly 5. Use limit orders - Avoid slippage 6. Track all outcomes - Build performance data

Related skills

FAQ

Which platforms does it cover?

Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Metaculus, PredictIt, Drift, Betfair, and Smarkets.

What arbitrage types does it detect?

Cross-platform price differences, internal (YES/NO rebalancing) arbitrage, and inverse-market arbitrage.

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