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Divergence

  • 18 installs
  • 610 repo stars
  • Updated June 26, 2026
  • alsk1992/cloddsbot

Divergence is a skill that trades Binance-spot versus Polymarket price lag on 15-minute crypto binary markets.

About

Divergence is a skill for spot-versus-Polymarket divergence trading on 15-minute crypto markets. A developer runs it against BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP, and it buys the lagging Polymarket side when Binance spot has moved but the market has not caught up, exiting on take-profit, stop-loss or trailing rules. It matters for building an automated latency-arbitrage trader on Polymarket binary markets.

  • Detects when Binance spot moves but Polymarket 15-minute markets lag
  • Buys the lagging side and exits when the price corrects
  • Starts in dry-run mode with configurable take-profit, stop-loss and detection windows

Divergence by the numbers

  • 18 all-time installs (skills.sh)
  • Ranked #725 of 1,106 Finance & Trading skills by installs in the Skillselion catalog
  • Data as of Aug 5, 2026 (Skillselion catalog sync)
At a glance

divergence capabilities & compatibility

Free to test in dry-run mode; live trading needs Polymarket credentials and funds

Capabilities
crypto hft · copy trading · dca
Use cases
trading
Pricing
Bring your own API key
From the docs

What divergence says it does

Detects when Binance spot prices move but Polymarket 15-minute binary markets haven't caught up yet. Buys the lagging side and sells when it corrects.
SKILL.md
Starts in **dry-run mode** by default (no real orders).
SKILL.md
npx skills add https://github.com/alsk1992/cloddsbot --skill divergence

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Listed on Skillselion
Installs18
repo stars610
Last updatedJune 26, 2026
Repositoryalsk1992/cloddsbot

What it does

Detect Binance-spot vs Polymarket price lag on 15-minute markets and trade the lagging side with configurable exits.

Who is it for?

Trading latency between Binance spot and Polymarket 15-minute markets

Skip if: Non-Polymarket or non-15-minute market strategies

When should I use this skill?

You want to trade spot-vs-Polymarket price lag automatically

By the numbers

  • 7 detection windows (5s to 120s)
  • 6 threshold buckets
  • default take-profit 15%, stop-loss -25%

Files

SKILL.mdMarkdownGitHub ↗

Divergence Trading - Spot vs Poly Price Lag

Detects when Binance spot prices move but Polymarket 15-minute binary markets haven't caught up yet. Buys the lagging side and sells when it corrects.

Strategy tags match the CLAUDE.md encoding: BTC_DOWN_s12-14_w15 (0.12-0.14% move in 15s window).

Starts in dry-run mode by default (no real orders).

Quick Start

/div start                     # Dry-run on BTC,ETH,SOL,XRP
/div start BTC,ETH --size 30   # Specific assets + size
/div status                    # Stats, open positions
/div stop                      # Stop and show summary

Commands

Start / Stop

/div start [ASSETS] [--size N] [--dry-run]
/div stop

Monitor

/div status       Stats + open positions + round info
/div positions    Last 20 closed trades with strategy tags
/div markets      Active 15-min markets from Gamma API

Configure

/div config                           Show current config
/div config --tp 20 --sl 30          Set TP/SL %
/div config --size 50                 Set trade size
/div config --windows 5,10,30         Set detection windows

Detection Algorithm

For each spot tick, across all configured windows (5s, 10s, 15s, 30s, 60s, 90s, 120s):

1. Look up spot price N seconds ago via binary search 2. Calculate spotMovePct = (now - then) / then * 100 3. If move >= threshold AND poly is fresh (< 5s stale):

  • Generate signal with strategy tag: {ASSET}_{DIR}_s{bucket}_w{window}
  • e.g., BTC_DOWN_s12-14_w15 = 0.12-0.14% spot drop over 15s

Threshold Buckets

BucketSpot Move Range
s08-100.08% - 0.10%
s10-120.10% - 0.12%
s12-140.12% - 0.14%
s14-160.14% - 0.16%
s16-200.16% - 0.20%
s20+0.20%+

Exit Logic

1. Force exit — < 30s before market expiry 2. Take profit — PnL >= 15% (configurable) 3. Stop loss — PnL <= -25% (configurable) 4. Trailing stop — Activated at +10%, exits if drops 8% from HWM 5. Time exit — < 2min before expiry

Related skills

Finance & Tradingfinancepayments

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